Today in Commodities: Packing for China’s Vacation

Matthew Bradbard submits:

Is there a bubble in China? I do not think so as it relates to commodities, but expect volatility as they will be absent from the markets next week. Though past performance is not indicative of future results, I recall last year big swings and would expect the same this year. All things being equal, volatility is already present so just a heads up.

As for the markets: Oil finished lower but pared its losses. Our clients have no exposure but we will be buying dips in the weeks to come, given the opportunity. A trade below $70 should be bought! We like the action in natural gas today. In the next 2 weeks we will be looking to gain long exposure in the May contract for clients via options and futures. In years past, when natty bottoms in mid-winter we’ve seen a trade higher into late April (15 out of the last 19 years). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Buzz on the Street: Worries Abroad Shape the Tape

All day and every day some of the stock market’s best and brightest traders and money managers share their ideas insights and analysis in real-time on Minyanville’s Buzz & Banter. Check out some of the best of the buzz and for those Minyans not currently subscribed click here for a free two-week trial. Note: Some links may require Buzz subscriptions.Monday February 8 2010Market ThoughtsSmita SadanaAs shared on Friday the SP-500 found support at 200-day exponential MA a level that has not been violated since it SP-500 convincingly breached it on the upside in July 2009.The morning after the storm is always precarious …


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When Wealth Minus Money Equals Happiness

The London Telegraph reports that Austrian millionaire Karl Rabeder is “giving away every penny of his £3 million fortune after realising his riches were making him unhappy.”Rabeder told the paper "It was the biggest shock in my life when I realised how horrible soulless and without feeling the five-star lifestyle is. My idea is to have nothing left. Absolutely nothing. Money is counterproductive – it prevents happiness to come." Rabeder will be giving his money to charities he set up in Central and Latin America. He said he made his decision while on vacation in Hawaii. Rabeder follows in the …


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When Wealth Minus Money Equals Happiness

The London Telegraph reports that Austrian millionaire Karl Rabeder is “giving away every penny of his £3 million fortune after realising his riches were making him unhappy.”Rabeder told the paper "It was the biggest shock in my life when I realised how horrible soulless and without feeling the five-star lifestyle is. My idea is to have nothing left. Absolutely nothing. Money is counterproductive – it prevents happiness to come." Rabeder will be giving his money to charities he set up in Central and Latin America. He said he made his decision while on vacation in Hawaii. Rabeder follows in the …


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Why China Has a Growth Problem

Chinese analysis can be divided into three periods:1. Pre-crisis 1998-2008 — Late-Stage Growth Obesity2. During crisis fourth quarter of 2008 to second quarter of 2009 — You Lie!3. Post-crisis second quarter of 2009 to today — Super Steroids-R-UsPeriod 1: Pre-Crisis — Late-Stage Growth ObesityGrowth is high but its quality is low.Starbucks (SBUX) is a good example of late-stage growth obesityConsequences for Starbucks  Opened too many stores in wrong locations (too close to each other wrong side of the street etc.) signed expensive leases  Hired McDonald’s-caliber employees not the Starbucks baristas Management took their eye off innovation Starbucks Addressed These …


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