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Global Trading News

Today in Commodities: What a Difference a Day Makes

December 4, 2009

Matthew Bradbard submits:

Crude only closed $1 lower but that does not tell the whole story. If the dollar rally continues, which we think it will for the immediate future, prices should come off. We therefore will not be getting long until the dust settles. Natural gas is an entirely different animal. We are advising long call spreads for the month of February and on continued strength next week we will again look for long futures entries. On cold weather or increased buying we expect February to find its way back near $5.

We would have liked to see a positive day in sugar but all things considered a trade is not made in a day. Wait for a settlement above the trend line to confirm the break out; that level is just above 23.00 on the March contract.

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FX trading: Washed up at 40

December 4, 2009
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Not Exactly a Vote of Confidence

December 3, 2009

In Tim Iacono’s earlier post regarding Sen Jim Bunning’s less-than-flattering remarks about Ben Bernanke, he noted the groundswell of public opinion against the current Fed Chairman.
In fact, Rasmussen Reports has announced the results of its latest national telephone survey, and it reveals that 38% of adults regard Bernanke unfavorably, while only 21% believe the president should reappoint [...]

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Today in Commodities: Bubbles Can Last Longer than Anyone Thinks

December 3, 2009

Matthew Bradbard submits:

Crude was lower but held above $76.; we have no suggestions long or short right now. Natural gas traded to fresh lows, having lost 80 cents or 15% in the last 5 days. As we suggested yesterday, we think prices have overshot to the downside. We’ve yet to commit to mini-futures again but clients have been advised to buy February 50 cent call spreads.

Sugar bounced off the 100-day moving average and closed higher on the session but well off its highs. Let’s hope for a strong conclusion to the week tomorrow, longer term we expect a trade back up to 25/26 cents in the March contract. OJ closed higher on the day and having gained the last 7 sessions, clients’ January puts will undoubtedly be a loser; we will try to salvage some premium.

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Finding Winners Where No One Else Will Go

December 3, 2009

At Croft-Leominster making money for clients is a family affair.The Baltimore-based money management firm was founded in 1989 by Gordon Croft a veteran T. Rowe Price (TROW) analyst and fund manager and his son Kent. Another son Russell joined the firm in 1998. The shop now has $650 million in assets under management.Russell Croft 35 tells us that much of what he learned as a professional investor didn’t come from studying for his MBA or working for other money managers. Instead he says he owes a big debt to his dad.“I’ve learned a ton from him especially about how …

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